Business Policy





THE HONDA EFFECT

Source: Richard T. Pascale (1984). “Perspectives on Strategy: The Real Story Behind Honda’s Success," California Management Review, XXIV, No. 3, pp. 47-72. [Also reproduced in: MINTZBERG, H. and QUINN, J. B. (1992). The Strategy Process: Concepts and Contexts, Prentice-Hall International, Englewood Cliffs New Jersey. pp. 114 -123.]


At face value, “strategy” is an innocent noun. Webster defines it as the large-scale planning and direction of operations. In the business context, it pertains to a process by which a firm searches and analyses its environment and resources in order to (1) select opportunities defined in terms of markets to be served and products to serve them and (2) make discrete decisions to invest resources in order to achieve identified objectives (Bower, 1970).

But for a vast and influential population of executives, planners, academics, and consultants, strategy is more than a conventional English noun. It embodies an implicit model of how organisations should be guided and consequently, preconfigures our way of thinking. Strategy formulation (1) is generally assumed to be driven by senior management whom we expect to set strategic direction, (2) has been extensively influenced by empirical models and concepts, and (3) is often associated with a laborious strategic planning process that, in some companies, has produced more paper than insight.

A $500 million a year “strategy” industry has emerged in the United States and Europe comprised of management consultants, strategic planning staffs, and business school academics. It caters to the unique emphasis that American and European companies place upon this particular aspect of managing and directing corporations.

Words often derive meaning from their cultural context. Strategy is one such word and nowhere is the contrast of meanings more pronounced than between Japan and the United States. The Japanese view the emphasis we place on “strategy” as we might regard their enthusiasm for Kabuki or Sumo wrestling. They note our interest not with an intent of acquiring similar ones but for insight into our peculiarities. The Japanese are somewhat distrustful of a single “strategy” for in their view any idea that focuses attention does so at the expense of peripheral vision. They strongly believe that peripheral vision is essential to discerning changes in the customer, the technology or competition, and is the key to corporate survival over the long haul. They regard any propensity to be driven by a single-minded strategy as a weakness.

The Japanese have a particular discomfort with strategic concepts. While they do not reject ideas such as the experience curve or portfolio theory outright they regard them as a stimulus to perception. They have often ferreted out the “formula” of their concept-driven American competitors and exploited their inflexibility. In musical instruments, for example (a mature industry facing stagnation as birth-rates in the United States and Japan declined), Yamaha might have classified its products as “cash cows” and gone on to better things (as its chief U.S. competitor, Baldwin United, had done). Instead, beginning with a negligible share of the U.S. market, Yamaha ploughed ahead and destroyed Baldwin’s seemingly unchallengeable dominance. YKK’s success in zippers against Talon (a Textron division) and Honda’s outflanking of Harley-Davidson (a former AMF subsidiary) in the motorcycle field provide parallel illustrations. All three cases involved American conglomerates, wedded to the portfolio concept that had classified pianos, zippers, and motorcycles as mature businesses to be harvested rather than nourished and defended. Of course, those who developed portfolio theory and other strategic concepts protest that they were never intended to be mindlessly applied in setting strategic direction. But most would also agree that there is a widespread tendency in American corporations to misapply concepts and to otherwise become strategically myopic -- ignoring the marketplace, the customer, and the problems of execution. This tendency toward misapplication, being both pervasive and persistent over several decades, is a phenomenon that the literature has largely endorsed [for exceptions, see Hayes and Abernathy, 1980:67; Hayes and Garvin, 1982:71]. There is a need to identify explicitly the factors that influence how we conceptualise strategy -- and which foster its misuse.

HONDA: THE STRATEGY MODEL

In 1975, Boston Consulting Group (BCG presented the British government its final report: Strategy Alternatives for the British Motorcycle Industry. This 120-page document identified two key factors leading to the British demise in the world’s motorcycle industry:

· Market share loss and profitability declines

· Scale economy disadvantages in technology, distribution, and manufacturing.

During the period 1959 to 1973, the British share of the U.S. motorcycle industry had dropped from 49% to 9%. Introducing BCG’s recommended strategy (of targeting market segments where sufficient production volumes could be attained to be price competitive) the report states:

The success of the Japanese manufacturers originated with the growth of their domestic market during the 1950s. As recently as 1960, only 4 percent of Japanese motorcycle production was exported. By this time, however, the Japanese had developed huge production volumes in small motorcycles in their domestic market, and volume-related cost reductions had followed. This resulted in a highly competitive cost position which the Japanese used as a springboard for penetration of world markets with small motorcycles in the early 1960s (BCG, 1975: xiv).

The BCG study was made public by the British government and rapidly disseminated in the United States. It exemplifies the necessary (and, I argue, insufficient) strategist’s perspective of

· examining competition primarily from an inter-company perspective,

· at a high level of abstraction,

· with heavy reliance on micro-economic concepts (such as the experience curve).

Case writers at Harvard Business School, UCLA, and the University of Virginia quickly condensed the BCG report for classroom use in case discussions. It currently enjoys extensive use in first-term courses in business policy.

Of particular note in the BCG study, and in the subsequent Harvard Business School rendition, is the historical treatment of Honda.

The mix of competitors in the U.S. motorcycle market underwent a major shift in the 1960s. Motorcycle registrations increased from 575,000 in 1960 to 1,382,000 in 1965. Prior to 1960 the U.S. market was served mainly by Harley-Davidson of U.S.A., BSA, Triumph and Norton of U.K. and Moto-Guzzi of Italy. Harley was the market leader with total 1959 sales of $16.6 million. After the Second World War, motorcycle in the U.S.A. attracted a very limited group of people other than police and army personnel who used motorcycles on the job. While most motorcyclists were no doubt decent people, groups of rowdies who went around on motorcycles and called themselves by such names as “Hell’s Angles,” “Satan’s Slaves” gave motorcycling a bad image. Even leather jackets, which were worn by motorcyclists as a protective device, acquired an unsavoury image. A 1953 movie called “The Wild Ones” starring a 650cc Triumph, a black leather jacket and Marlon Brando gave the rowdy motorcyclist wide media coverage. The stereotype of the motorcyclist was a leather-jacketed, teenage troublemaker.

Honda established an American subsidiary in 1959 -- American Honda Motor Company. This was in sharp contrast to other foreign producers who relied on distributors. Honda’s marketing strategy was described in the 1963 annual report as “With its policy of selling, not primarily to confirmed motorcyclists but rather to members of the general public who had never before given a second thought to a motorcycle..." Honda started its push in the U.S. market with the smallest, lightweight motorcycles. It had a three-speed transmission, an automatic clutch, five horsepower (the American cycle only had two and a half), an electric starter and a step-through frame for female riders. And it was easier to handle. The Honda machines sold for under $250 in retail compared with $1,000-$1,500 for the bigger American or British machines. Even at that early date Honda was probably superior to other competitors in productivity.

By June 1960 Honda’s Research and Development effort was staffed with 700 designers/engineers. This might be contrasted with 100 engineers/draftsmen employed by... (European and American competitors). In 1962 production per man-year was running at 159 units, (a figure not reached by Harley-Davidson until 1974). Honda’s net fixed asset investment was $8170 per employee... (more than twice its European and American competitors). With 1959 sales of $55 million Honda was already the largest motorcycle producer in the world.

Honda followed a policy of developing the market region by region. They started on the West Coast and moved eastward over a period of four-five years. Honda sold 2,500 machines in the U.S. in 1960. In 1961 they lined up 125 distributors and spent $150,000 on regional advertising. Their advertising was directed to the young families, their advertising theme was “You Meet the Nicest People on a Honda.” This was a deliberate attempt to dissociated motorcycles from rowdy, Hell’s Angles type people.

Honda's success in creating demand for lightweight motorcycles was phenomenal. American Honda’s sales went from $500,000 in 1960 and $77 million in 1965. By 1966 the market share data showed the ascendancy of Japanese producers and their success in selling lightweight motorcycles. [Honda had 63% of the market.] .... Starting from virtually nothing in 1960, the lightweight motorcycles had clearly established their lead (Purkaystha, 1981: 5, 10, 11, 12).

Quoting from the BCG report:

The Japanese motorcycle industry, and in particular Honda, the market leader, presents a [consistent] picture. The basic philosophy of the Japanese manufacturers is that high volumes per model provide the potential for high productivity as a result of using capital intensive and highly automated techniques. Their marketing strategies are therefore directed towards developing these high model volumes, hence the careful attention that we have observed them giving to growth and market share.

The overall result of this philosophy over time has been that the Japanese have now developed an entrenched and leading position in terms of technology and production methods... The major factors which appear to account for the Japanese superiority in both these areas are ... (specialised production systems, balancing engineering and market requirements, and the cost efficiency and reliability of suppliers) (BCG, pp. 59, 40).

As evidence of Honda’s strategy of taking position as low cost producer and exploiting economies of scale, other sources cite Honda's construction in 1959 of a plant to manufacture 30,000 motorcycles per month well ahead of existing demand at the time (up until then Honda’s most popular models sold 2,000-3,000 units per month) (Sakiya, 1982:119).

The overall picture as depicted by the quotes exemplifies the “strategy model.” Honda is portrayed as a firm dedicated to being the low price producer, utilising its dominant market position in Japan to force entry into the U.S. market expanding that market by redefining a leisure class (“Nicest People”) segment, and exploiting its comparative advantage via aggressive pricing and advertising. Richard Rumelt, writing the teaching note for the UCLA adaptation of the case states: “The fundamental contribution of BCG is not the experience curve per se but the ever-present assumption that differences in cost (or efficiency) are the fundamental components of strategy” (Rumelt 1980).


THE ORGANISATIONAL PROCESS PERSPECTIVE

On September 10, 1982, the six Japanese executives responsible for Honda’s entry into the U.S. motorcycle market in 1959 assembled in Honda’s Tokyo headquarters. They had gathered at my request to describe in fine grain detail the sequence of events that had led to Honda’s ultimate position of dominance in the U.S. market. All were in their sixties; three were retired. The story that unfolded, greatly abbreviated below, highlights miscalculation, serendipity, and organisational learning -- counterpoints to the streamlined “strategy” version related earlier...

Any account of Honda’s successes must grasp at the outset the unusual character of its founder, Sochiro Honda, and his partner, Takeo Fujisawa. Honda was an inventive genius with a large ego and mercurial temperament, given to bouts of “philandering” (to use his expression). (Sakiya 1979)...

Post-war Japan was in desperate need of transportation. Motorcycle manufacturer proliferated, producing clip-on engines that converted bicycles into makeshift “mopeds.” Honda was among these but it was not until he teamed up with Fujisawa in 1949 that the elements of a successful enterprise began to take shape. Fujisawa provided money as well as financial and marketing strengths. In 1950 their first D-type motorcycle was introduced. They were, at that juncture, participating in a fragmented industry along with 247 other manufacturers. Other than its sturdy frame, this introductory product was unnoteworthy and did not enjoy great commercial success. (Sakiya, 1979; 1982).

Honda embodied a rare combination of inventive ability and ultimate self-confidence. His motivation was not primarily commercial. Rather, the company served as a vehicle to give expression to his inventive abilities. A successful company would provide a resource base to pursue, in Fujisawa’s words, his “grandiose dream.” Fujisawa continues, “There was no end to his pursuit of technology” (Sakiya, 1982).

Fujisawa, in an effort to save the faltering company, pressed Honda to abandon their noisy two-stroke engine and pursue a four-stroke design. The quieter four-stroke engines were appearing on competitive motorcycles, therefore threatening Honda with extinction. Mr. Honda balked. But a year later, Honda stunned Fujisawa with a breakthrough design that doubled the horsepower of competitive four-stroke engines. With this innovation, the firm was off and putting, and by 1951 demand was brisk. There was no organisation, however, and the plant was chaotic (Sakiya, 1982). Strong demand, however, required early investment in a simplified mass production process. As a result, primarily due to design advantage, and secondarily to production methods, Honda became one of the four or five industry leaders by 1954 with 15 percent market share (data provided by company)....

For Fujisawa, the engine innovation meant increased sales and easier access to financing. For Mr. Honda, the higher horsepower engine opened the possibility of pursuing one of his central ambitions in life -- to race his motorcycle and win...

Fujisawa, throughout the fifties, sought to turn Honda’s attention from his enthusiasm with racing to the more mundane requirements of running an enterprise. By 1956, as the innovations gained from racing had begun to pay off in vastly more efficient engines, Fujisawa pressed Honda to adapt this technology for a commercial motorcycle (Sakiya, 1979; 1982). Fujisawa had a particular segment in mind. Most motorcyclists in Japan were male and the machines were used primarily as an alternative form of transportation to trains and buses. There were, however, a vast number of small commercial establishments in Japan that still delivered goods and ran errands on bicycles. Trains and buses were inconvenient for these activities. The purse strings of these small enterprises were controlled by the Japanese wife -- who resisted buying conventional motorcycles because they were expensive, dangerous, and hard to handle. Fujisawa challenged Honda: Can you use what you’ve learned from racing to come up with an inexpensive, safe-looking motorcycle that can be driven with one hand (to facilitate carrying packages).

In 1958, the Honda 50cc Supercub was introduced -- with an automatic clutch, three-speed transmission, automatic starter, and the safe friendly look of a bicycle (without the stigma of the outmoded mopeds). Owing almost entirely to its high horsepower but lightweight 50cc engine (not to production efficiencies), it was affordable. Overnight, the firm was overwhelmed with orders. Engulfed by demand, they sought financing to build a new plant with a 30,000 unit per month capacity. “It wasn’t a speculative investment," recalls one executive. “We had the proprietary technology, we had the market, and the demand was enormous.” (The plant was completed in mid-1960.) Prior to its opening, demand was met through makeshift, high cost, company-owned assembly and farmed-out assembly through subcontractors. By the end of 1959, Honda had skyrocketed into the first place among Japanese motorcycle manufacturers. Of its total sales that year of 258,000 units, 168,000 were Supercubs.

Fujisawa utilised the Supercub to restructure Honda’s channels of distribution. For many years, Honda had rankled under the two-tier distribution system that prevailed in the industry. These problems had been exacerbated by the fact that Honda was a late entry and had been carried as secondary line by distributors whose loyalties lay with their older manufacturers. Further weakening Honda’s leverage, all manufacturer sales were on a consignment basis.

Deftly, Fujisawa had characterised the Supercub to Honda’s distributors as “something much more like a bicycle than a motorcycle.” The traditional channels, to their later regret, agreed. Under amicable terms Fujisawa began selling the Supercub directly to retailers -- and primarily through bicycle shops. Since these shops were small and numerous (approximately 12,000 in Japan), sales on consignment were unthinkable. A cash-on-delivery system was installed, giving Honda significantly more leverage over its dealerships than the other motorcycle manufacturers enjoyed.

The stage was now set for exploration of the U.S. market. Mr. Honda’s racing conquests in the late 1950s had given substance to his convictions about his abilities...

Two Honda executives -- the soon-to-be-named president of American Honda, Kihachiro Kawashima, and his assistant -- arrived in the United States in late 1958. Their itinerary: San Francisco, Los Angeles, Dallas, New York, and Columbus. Mr. Kawashima recounts his impressions:

My first reaction after travelling across the United States was: How could we have been so stupid as to start a war with such a vast and wealthy country: My second reaction was discomfort. I spoke poor English. We dropped in on motorcycle dealers who treated us discourteously and in addition, gave the general impression of being motorcycle enthusiasts who, secondarily, were in business. There were only 3,000 motorcycle dealers in the United States at the time and only 1,000 of them were open five days a week. The remainders were open on nights and weekends. Inventory was poor, manufacturers sold motorcycles to dealers on consignment, and the retailers provided consumer financing: after-sales service was poor. It was discouraging.

My other impression was that everyone in the United States drove an automobile -- making it doubtful that motorcycles could ever do very well in the market. However, with 450,000 motorcycle registrations in the U. S. and 60,000 motorcycles imported from Europe each year it didn’t seem unreasonable to shoot for 10 per cent of the import market. I returned to Japan with that report.

In truth, we had no strategy other than the idea of seeing if we could sell something in the United States. It was a new frontier, a new challenge, and it fit the "success against all odds" culture that Mr. Honda had cultivated. I reported my impressions to Fujisawa -- including the seat-of-the-pants target of trying, over several years, to attain a 10 per cent share of U.S. imports. He didn’t probe that target quantitatively. We did not discuss profits or deadlines for break-even. Fujisawa told me if anyone could succeed, I could and authorised $1 million for the venture.

The next hurdle was to obtain a currency allocation from the Ministry of Finance. They were extraordinarily sceptical. Toyota had launched the Toyopet in the U.S. in 1958 and had failed miserably. “How could Honda succeed?” they asked. Months went by. We put the project on hold. Suddenly, five months after our application, we were given the go-ahead -- but at only a fraction of our expected level of commitment. “You can invest $250,000 in the U.S. market," they said, “but only $ 110,000 in cash.” The remainder of our assets had to be in parts and motorcycle inventory.

We moved into frantic activity as the government, hoping we would give up on the idea, continued to hold us to the July 1959 start-up timetable. Our focus, as mentioned earlier, was to compete with the European exports. We knew our products at the time were good but not far superior. Mr. Honda was especially confident of the 250cc and 305cc machines. The shape of the handlebar on these larger machines looked like the eyebrow of Buddha, which he felt, was a strong selling point. Thus, after some discussion and with no compelling criteria for selection, we configured our start-up inventory with 25 percent of each of our four products -- the 50cc Supercub and the 125cc, 250cc, and 305cc machines. In dollar value terms, of course, the inventory was heavily weighted toward the larger bikes.

The stringent monetary controls of the Japanese government together with the unfriendly reception we had received during our 1958 visit caused us to start small. We chose Los Angeles where there was a large second and third generation Japanese community, a climate suitable for motorcycle use, and a growing population. We were so strapped for cash that the three of us shared a furnished apartment that rented for $80 per month. Two of us slept on the floor. We obtained a warehouse in a run-down section of the city and waited for the ship to arrive. Not daring to spare our funds for equipment, the three of us stacked the motorcycle crates three high -- by hand, swept the floors, and built and maintained the parts bin.

We were entirely in the dark the first year. We were not aware the motorcycle business in the United States occurs during a seasonable April-August window and our timing coincided with the closing of the 1959 season. Our hard-learned experiences with distributorships in Japan convinced us to try to go to the retailers direct. We ran ads in the motorcycles trade magazine for dealers. A few responded. By spring of 1960, we had forty dealers and some of our inventory in their stores -- mostly larger bikes. A few of the 250cc and 305cc bikes began to sell. Then disaster struck.

By the first week of April 1960, reports were coming in that our machines were leaking oil and encountering clutch failure. This was our lowest moment. Honda’s fragile reputation was being destroyed before it could be established. As it turned out, motorcycles in the United States are driven much farther and much faster than in Japan. We dug deeply into our precious cash reserves to airfreight our motorcycles to the Honda testing lab in Japan. Through the dark month of April, Pan Am was the only enterprise in the U.S. that was nice to us. Our testing lab worked twenty-four-hour days bench testing the bikes to try to replicate the failure. Within a month, a redesigned head gasket and clutch spring solved the problem. But in the meantime, events had taken a surprising turn.

Throughout our first eight months, following Mr. Honda’s and our own instincts, we had not attempted to move the 50cc Supercubs. While they were a smash success in Japan (and manufacturing could not keep up with demand there), they seemed wholly unsuitable for the U.S. market where everything was bigger and more luxurious. As a clincher, we had our sights on the import market -- and the Europeans, like the American manufacturers, emphasised the larger machines.

We used the Honda 50s ourselves to ride around Los Angeles on errands. They attracted a lot of attention. One day we had a call from a Sears buyer. While persisting in our refusal to sell through an intermediary, we took note of Sears’ interest. But we still hesitated to push the 50cc bikes out of fear they might harm our image in a heavily macho market. But when the larger bikes started breaking, we had no choice. We let the 50cc bikes move. And surprisingly, the retailers who wanted to sell them were not motorcycle dealers, they were sporting goods stores.

The excitement created by the Honda Supercub began to gain momentum. Under restrictions from the Japanese government, we were still on a cash basis. Working with our initial cash and inventory, we sold machines, reinvested in inventory, and sunk the profits into additional inventory and advertising. Our advertising tried to straddle the market. While retailers continued to inform us that our Supercub customers were normal everyday Americans, we hesitated to target toward this segment out of fear of alienating the high margin end of our business -- sold through the traditional motorcycle dealers to a more traditional “black leather jacket” customer.

Honda’s phenomenal sales and share gains over the ensuing years have been previously reported. History has it that Honda “redefined” the U.S. motorcycle industry. In the view of American Honda’s start-up team, this was an innovation they backed into -- and reluctantly. It was certainly not the strategy they embarked on in 1959. As late as 1963, Honda was still working with its original Los Angeles advertising agency, its ad campaigns straddling all customers so as not to antagonise one market in pursuit of another.

In the spring of 1963, an undergraduate advertising major at UCLA submitted, in fulfilment of a routine course assignment, as ad campaign for Honda. Its theme: You Meet the Nicest People on a Honda. Encouraged by his instructor, the student passed his work on to a friend at Grey Advertising. Grey had been soliciting the Honda account -- which with a $5 million a year budget was becoming an attractive potential client. Grey purchased the student’s idea -- on a tightly kept nondisclosure basis. Grey attempted to sell the idea to Honda.

Interestingly, the Honda management team, which by 1963 had grown to five Japanese executives, was badly split on this advertising decision. The president and treasurer favoured another proposal from another agency. The director of sales, however, felt strongly that the Nicest People campaign was the right one -- and his commitment eventually held sway. Thus, in 1963 through an inadvertent sequence of events, Honda came to adopt a strategy that directly identified and targeted that large untapped segment of the marketplace that has since become inseparable from the Honda legend.

The Nicest People campaign drove Honda’s sales at an even greater rate. By 1964, nearly one out of every two motorcycles sold was a Honda. As a result of the influx of medium income leisure class consumers, banks and other consumer credit companies began to finance motorcycles -- shifting away from dealer credit, which had been the traditional purchasing mechanism available. Honda, seizing the opportunity of soaring demand for its products, took a courageous and seemingly risky position. Late in 1964, they announced that thereafter, they would cease to ship on a consignment basis but would require cash on delivery. Honda braced itself for revolt. While nearly every dealer questioned, appealed, or complained, none relinquished his franchise. In one fell swoop, Honda shifted the power relationship from the dealer to the manufacturer. Within three years, this would become the pattern for the industry.


THE “HONDA EFFECT”

The preceding account of Honda’s inroads in the U.S. motorcycle industry provides more than a second perspective on reality. It focuses our attention on different issues and raises different questions. What factors permitted two men as unlike one another as Honda and Fujisawa to function effectively as a team? What incentives and understandings permitted the Japanese executives at American Honda to respond to the market as it emerged rather than doggedly pursue the 250cc and 305cc strategy that Mr. Honda favoured? What decision process permitted the relatively junior sales director to overturn the bosses preferences and choose the Nicest People campaign? What values or commitment drove Honda to take the enormous risk of alienating its dealers in 1964 in shifting from a consignment to cash? In hindsight, these pivotal events all seem ho-hum common sense. But each day, as organisations live out their lives without the benefits of hindsight, few choose so well and so consistently.

The juxtaposed perspectives reveal what I shall call the “Honda Effect.” Western consultants, academics, and executives express a preference for oversimplifications of reality and cognitively linear explanations of events. To be sure they have always acknowledged that the “human factor” must be taken into account. But extensive reading of strategy cases at business schools, consultants’ reports, strategic planning documents as well as the coverage of the popular press, reveals a widespread tendency to overlook the process through which organisations experiment, adapt, and learn. We tend to impute coherence and purposive rationality to events when the opposite may be closer to the truth. How an organisation deals with miscalculation, mistakes, and serendipitous events outside its field of vision is often crucial to success over time. It is this realm that requires better understanding and further research if we are to enhance our ability to guide an organisation’s destiny.

An earlier section has addressed the shortcomings of the narrowly defined micro-economic strategy model. The Japanese avoid this pitfall by adopting a broader notion of “strategy.” In our recent awe of things Japanese, most Americans forget that the original products of the Japanese automotive manufacturers badly missed the mark. Toyota’s Toyopet was square, sexless, and mechanically defective. It failed miserably, as did Datsun’s first several entries into the U.S. market. More recently, Mazda miscalculated badly with its first rotary engine and nearly went bankrupt. Contrary to myth, the Japanese did not from the onset embark on a strategy to seize the high-quality small-car market. They manufactured what they were accustomed to building in Japan and tried to sell it abroad. Their success, as any Japanese automotive executive will readily agree, did not result from a bold insight by a few big brains at the top. On the contrary, success was achieved by senior managers humble enough not to take their initial strategic positions too seriously. What saved Japan’s near-failures was the cumulative impact of “little brains” in the form of salesmen and dealers and production workers all contributing incrementally to the quality and market position these companies enjoy today. Middle and upper management saw their primary task as guiding and orchestrating this input from below rather than steering the organisation from above along a predetermined strategic course.

The Japanese don’t use the term “strategy” to describe a crisp business definition or competitive master plan. They think more in terms of “strategic accommodation,” or “adaptive persistence,” underscoring their belief that corporate direction evolves from an incremental adjustment to unfolding events. Rarely, in their view, does one leader (or a strategic planning group) produce a bold strategy that guides a firm unerringly. Far more frequently, the input is from below. It is this ability of an organisation to move information and ideas from the bottom to the top and back again in continuous dialogue that the Japanese value above all things. As this dialogue is pursued, what in hindsight may be “strategy” evolves. In sum, “strategy” is defined as “all the things necessary for the successful functioning of organisation as an adaptive mechanism."


REFERENCES

BOSTON COONSULTING GROUP. (1975). Strategy Alternatives for the British Motor Cycle Industry. Her Majesty’s Stationery Office, London.

BOWER, J. L. (1970). Planning within the Firm. The American Economic Review. pp. 186-194.

HAYES, R. H. and GARVIN, D. A. (1982). Managing as if Tomorrow Mattered. Harvard Business Review, May-June. pp.70-79.

HAYES, R. H. and ABERNATHY, W. J. (1980). Managing Our Way to Economic Decline. Harvard Business Review, July-August. pp. 67-77.

PURKAYASTHA, D. (1981). Note on the Motorcycle Industry 1975. Copyrighted Case, Harvard Business School.

RUMELT, R. P. (1980). A Teaching Plan for Strategy Alternatives for the British Motorcycle Industry. In Japanese Business: Business Policy, The Japan Society, NY.

SAKIYA, T. (1979). The Story of Honda’s Founder. Asahi Evening News, June-August.

SAKIYA, T. (1982). Honda Motor: The Men, The Management, The Machines, Kadonsha International, Tokyo.


The Many Faces of Honda
Richard P Rumelt (1996). California Management Review, 38, 4. Summer 1996.

There is something special about the Honda Motor Company. Like General Motors, IBM, and General Electric, this company has joined the elite club of firms that are used, or have been used, as exemplars of successful business strategy. General Motors' system of decentralised implementation of a centrally directed coherent product policy (1921-1980) was carefully studied by several generations of business school students. IBM’s commitment to a common operating system for all its computing platforms and its apparent ability to control the evolving hardware/software standards for the industry was source material for thousands of lectures on effective competitive strategy (1960-1984) and General Electric (1965-1980) was the central source for the “strategic management” concepts central to the planning style of the early 1980s -- the PIMS-based relationship between market share and return, the use of a two dimensional grid for allotting cash flow and growth goals to business units and the full delegation of strategy making to relatively low-level “strategic business units”.

But what is special about Honda is that it has served and continues to serve as the exemplar for three very different views of strategy:

· The first is the BCG Report story of Honda's cost advantage, developed (the story goes) by the successful exploitation of scale and learning, and of the “segment retreat” response of British and American competitors. Anyone who received an MBA between 1979 and 1985 was almost certainly exposed to this version of history.

· The second, explicated by Pascale, offers a revisionist account of Honda’s motorcycle success. According to Pascale’s interview with six Honda executives, the company’s early scale in Japan came from its having a better product, flowing from design skills. Furthermore, Honda did not “target” specific market segments in the U.S., but rather showed an ability to experiment, to learn quickly from mistakes, to rapidly revise design problems and thereby to discover opportunities.

· The third, described by Prahalad and Hamel, couples Honda’s success in motorcycles with its successful entry into the U.S. automobile market. Here the centre of the story is Honda's remarkable ability to go from “nowhere” to prominence despite the earlier entry of very efficient competitors like Toyota and Nissan. Prahalad and Hamel have given the names “intent” and “stretch” to the processes which underlay this success and the name “core competence” to the central skills and abilities that Honda build upon.

Before addressing the debate between the “design school” and the “process school” views of strategy, it might be useful to review the source materials. Here I will give a brief summary of the facts and issues presented by BCG, Pascale, and by Prahalad and Hamel.


The BCG Report

The BCG view is the most fully documented -- it was published by the British government because the contract was with the Secretary of the State for Industry. Indeed, this two-volume 368-page report still provides the most complete published view of a strategy boutique at work doing industry and competitive analysis. The purpose of the Report was to explain the decline of the British motorcycle industry and to suggest strategic alternatives for the future. What was the reason, according to BCG, for decline of the British motorcycle industry? The report provided a clear unambiguous answer to this question. “The loss of market share by the British industry over the last fifteen years resulted from a concern for short term profitability.” That is, it identifies British myopia rather than Japanese strategic genius as the primary force at work. It is worth reviewing their reasoning at some length:

The success of the Japanese manufactures originated with the growth of their domestic market during the 1950s. As recently as 1960, only 4 percent of Japanese motorcycle production was exported. By this time, however, the Japanese had developed huge production volumes in small motorcycles in their domestic market and volume related cost reductions had followed. This resulted in a highly competitive cost position, which the Japanese used as a springboard for penetration of world markets with small motorcycles in the early 1960s.

Meanwhile, the primary focus of the British industry was on maintaining short-term profitability. The British found it impossible to match low Japanese price levels on small bikes profitably in the short term. They therefore responded to the Japanese challenge by withdrawing from the smaller bike segments which were being contested.

This was the fundamental strategic error. Long-term commercial success in fact depended on achieving sales volumes at least equal to those of the Japanese and employing equally sophisticated low cost production methods … Short-term profitability would obviously have suffered, but this approach would have secured a sound long-term future. The long-term result of the Japanese industry's historic focus on market share and volume, often at the expense of short-term profitability, has been the precise opposite: high and secure profitability.

The report goes into great detail about the British strategy of “segment retreat”. It shows that during the 1960s the British

response was essentially to withdraw from the smaller bikes in which the Japanese were competing so effectively. This led to a situation in which by the late 1960s the British industry was predominately active only in large bikes where the Japanese were not yet represented.

The reason for the decline in commercial performance of the British industry in the 1970s is that during this time the Japanese have finally entered this large bike segment. As in every other segment where the British had previously faced serious Japanese competition, this caused profitability to decline … now, response in the super-bike segment took the form of a failure to introduce new models… While British volume remained at roughly 30,000 units, the Japanese volume in the large bikes (>450cc) in the USA increased from 27,000 to 218,000 between 1969 and 1973. This cemented the poor market and commercial position of the British”

The cost data provided by BCG must have stunned the British: Motorcycle factories in the UK produced (on average) 14 motorcycles per worker per year, where as Honda produced the equivalent of about 200 motorcycles per worker per year. The data showed Honda’s labour cost per bike to be approximately one-tenth that of UK manufacturers, despite the fact that Honda paid 45 percent higher wages. At the same time, Honda’s capital costs per bike were approximately one-fourth that of a UK manufacturer, despite investing almost four times as much capital per worker.

How could such enormous cost differences have appeared? The report instructs that relative cost is determined by two key variables: technology and scale. It goes on to say that “the rate of technological learning tends to be related over time to accumulated production experience as the company develops and applies lower cost methods in the course of conducting its business. The competitor with the highest annual model volumes can benefit from methods which embody up-to-date technology and which rely on scale effects for their cost superiority. Note the careful phrasing of this conclusion -- it relates learning to scale and does not treat scale as a pure decision variable, but recognises that scale itself may be the result of history and other factors (including product quality). BCG’s argument is that differences in growth, or in demand, can be converted into sustained cost differences by aggressively exploiting the dynamics of technological advance, learning, and scale. Thus, a competitor who is strategically asleep will simply take a product design advantage as increased profit, where as a strategically alert firm will use such a situation to build scale, drive technology, and accumulate learning, thus generating a sustainable cost advantage.

The BCG report laid out the fundamental economics of the industry and placed the blame for failure at the feet of those who ignored these fundamentals. Fifteen years later, Chandler drew similar conclusions about the general pattern of capitalism in Britain:

Why, then, did British entrepreneurs, the heirs of the First Industrial Revolution, exploit to such a limited extent the opportunities of the new technologies of the Second Revolution… entrepreneurial failure… was the failure to make the three-pronged investment in production, distribution, and management essential to exploit economies of scale and scope”.

The BCG report dealt chiefly with the Japanese and the British as groups. Its specific treatment of Honda noted that

it is often said that Honda created the market -- in the United States and elsewhere -- for what we have called secondary uses of motorcycles, through their extensive advertising and promotion activities, and it is true that Honda presented the attractions of motorcycling as a “fun” activity in a new way, and with a level of media support not previously attempted by motorcycle manufacturers. However, the success of this campaign depended in the last resort on the fact that the lightweight machines that were then the company’s primary product were fun and easy to ride, did not give the mechanical problems that had traditionally been associated with motorcycles, and were cheap to purchase. In the same way, Honda’s successful move into super-bikes in 1969 received advertising support, but was made possible by a product, the CB750, which was technically ahead of its competitors, and offered features which were at that time unique.

In the infrequent instances where Honda have found themselves selling a model at a price disadvantage which threatened to impact on their sales volumes, they have been prepared to introduce special price cuts … An example of this behaviour was a $200 special discount maintained throughout a season on a 250cc off-road bike in order to match -- and in fact undercut -- Yamaha’s model in this range.

And in new markets where Honda are developing an s an d (“selling and distribution”) system the company is prepared to sustain losses in the marketing channel for as long as is necessary to establish the kind of system they require. In the UK, for instance, their market development program from 1963-1970 led to a lack of profitability through these years, but also saw them through a position of market leadership, backed by a thoroughly competent and efficient s an d system.

Thus the Honda described by the BCG report is especially skilled at product design and innovation, is willing to forego profitability in order to build volume and market position, puts great store in building model volumes and has been thus able to achieve extremely low unit cost.


Pascale’s “Honda Effect”

According to Pascale, the BCG portrait of Honda

exemplifies the “strategy model” Honda is portrayed as a firm dedicated to being the low price producer, utilising its dominant market position in Japan to force entry into the U.S. market, expanding that market by redefining a leisure class (“Nicest People”) segment, and exploiting its comparative advantage via aggressive pricing and advertising.

Pascale’s “revisionist” story was drawn from a meeting with Japanese executives who had been responsible for Honda’s 1959 entry into the US. In his words, “The story that unfolded … highlights miscalculation, serendipity, and organisational learning -- counterpoints to the streamlined “strategy” version related earlier”.

Some of the key elements of the story are the personalities and skills of the company’s leaders, Sochiro Honda and Takeo Fujisawa; Honda was an eccentric inventor with a strong ego and deep technical skills. He was capable of rapidly developing a new type of four-stroke engine with twice the power-per-pound of competing models and also capable of tossing a geisha out of a second story window and stripping naked before his engineers to assemble a motorcycle engine. Honda’s technical genius enabled the company to produce powerful yet light weight engines, and his passions led the company to pour resources into building machines that would win races. The 50cc Supercub, introduced in 1958, was affordable, according to this account, because of its small light engine. The booming demand and subsequent large-scale production facilities were the result of a better product.

The second key element of the story is the entry into the United States. According to Mr. Kawashima, who became the first president of American Honda, the small Japanese team arrived in the US with only weak English language skills and a vague plan to complete with European exports in the 250cc to 300cc size range. Under very tight budget constraints, the team struggled to get dealerships and found that US driving speeds and distances were breaking clutches on the mid-sized bikes. While engineers at home worked to solve this problem, the entry team discovered interest in the 50cc Supercubs they were using for personal transportation. As demands grew, the entry team reinvested profits back into the US business (the Japanese government placed restrictions on movement of funds from yen to dollars).

Pascale’s message, called the “Honda effect” was that

Western consultants, academics and executives express a preference for oversimplifications of reality and cognitively linear explanations of events … (there is) a tendency to overlook the process through which organisations experiment, adapt, and learn… How an organisation deals with miscalculations, mistakes and serendipitous events outside its field of vision is often crucial to success over time.


Competence, Intent, and Stretch

In the last five years Prahalad and Hamel have had a strong impact on how strategy is defined and taught. They have introduced the concepts “core competence”, “strategic intent” and “stretch” to the language of strategy. In doing this, they have broken with the old strategy dictum “build on your strengths,” and instead used as exemplars firms which have crated new resources and new strengths in the pursuit of some long-term “intent”. One of their exemplars is Honda. They say:

Companies that have risen to global leadership over the past 20 years invariably began with ambitions that were out of all proportion to their resources and capabilities. We call this obsession “strategic intent”… Honda strove to become a second Ford -- an automotive pioneer… Did Komatsu, Canon, and Honda have, detailed 20 year “strategies” for attacking Western markets? (emphasis added) Are Japanese and Korean managers better planners that their Western counterparts? No… As tests of strategy fit become more stringent, goals that cannot be planned for fall by the wayside. Yet companies that are afraid to commit to goals that lie outside the range of planning are unlikely to become global leaders.

Prahalad and Hamel claim that firms reaching for global leadership must use one of four basic approaches to innovating: building layers of advantage, searching for loose bricks, changing the terms of engagement, and working with collaborators. Honda, they explain, used the “loose bricks” approach to innovating around the existing entry barriers:

When Honda took on leaders in the motorcycle industry, for example, it began with products that were just outside the conventional definition of the leaders’ product-market domains. As a result, it could build a base on operations in under-defended territory and then use that base to launch an expanded attack. What many competitors failed to see was Honda’s strategic intent and its growing competence in engines and power trains. Yet even as Honda was selling 50cc motorcycles in the United States, it was already racing larger bikes in Europe -- assembling the design skills and technology it would need for a systematic expansion across the entire spectrum of motor-related businesses.

Honda’s progress in creating a core competence in engines should have warned competitors that it might enter a series of seemingly unrelated industries -- automobiles, lawn mowers, marine engines, generators. But with each company fixated on its own market, the threat of Honda’s horizontal diversification went unnoticed.

Thus, Prahalad and Hamel provide us with a third vision of Honda. In their view, the company’s direction is deliberate and managed, but they reject BCG’s approach of placing market share, volume, learning, and cost at the centre of the story. In addition, they reject the efficacy of a detailed strategy for competition. Instead, they see Honda as pursuing a long-term vision of global leadership in internal combustion engines, constantly building competencies in design and manufacturing, and competing through innovating around competitors’ product offerings. And their story rests on an extension of myopia from British Motorcycle manufacturers, to Western automobile companies, marine engine companies, and others.


Discussion

The debate, involving BCG, Pascale, Mintzberg, Ansoff, and Goold, among others, [see California Management Review, 38, 4. Summer 1996] is about which version of the Honda story is true, about which corresponding definition of strategy is most descriptive, and about which definition of strategy should be recommended to managers. Note that the answers to these three issues may be independent (one version of the Honda story may be true, yet another view of strategy may be more descriptive of most companies.)

It is useful to note that all involved parties use arguments that assume that someone (else) is myopic: the British, Western managers, Design School theorists, Emergent School theorists, or Honda itself. For example, whereas BCG’s story was primarily about British myopia, Pascale’s shows a certain myopia in Honda -- the entry team imported a fixed mix of motorcycles before finding out anything about U.S. driving conditions, the system of distribution, and so on. It may be that this assumption is what is really central about the traditional strategy field, whether it wears the clothing of design or process. Because, minus myopia, we are firmly in the territory of game theory where strategy should be the computation of one’s best response to others’ best responses, and so on. It is the presumption of myopia (or inertia, or boundedness) that enables the presentation of strategy as either deliberate or emergent rather than simply as the equilibrium in a multi-player game.

All three descriptions of history agree on a number of key points:

· Honda possessed a superior competence at engine design that was continually translated into products that outclassed those of competitors;

· Honda had experienced success with the Supercub in Japan before it entered the U.S. market; and

· Honda was successful in its entry into the U.S. market and, over time, extended that success from smaller bikes to larger bikes.

The key element of controversy is intentionality: Did Honda knowingly and purposefully translate its early product success in Japan into high-volume, low-cost facilities? Did Honda “plan” its entry into the U.S. market? In particular, did Honda enter knowing that 50cc bikes were a “loose brick?” Did Honda anticipate the segment retreat strategies of British firms? Did Honda deliberately lose money to build share in order to generate the scale to ultimately deliver the best quality at the lowest cost? Did Honda “understand” that its competence was engine design and both expand and diversify in ways that enhanced and built upon this “core competence?”

Pascale’s evidence clearly shows that Honda did not enter the U.S. market with a strategy of selling Supercubs and gradually moving up market. His data show that Honda knew little about the U.S. market, that the initial intention was to push mid-sized bikes, and that the success of the Supercub in the affluent U.S. took the entry team by surprise. Furthermore, Pascale argues that the Supercub was inexpensive because its unique lightweight high-power engine design permitted the simplification of the whole vehicle, not because of its rate of production (as BCG claimed).

On the other hand, the Pascale story only covers the initial entry of Honda into the United States. In the two decades that followed, Honda, and other Japanese motorcycle manufacturers, did come to dominate the market, and did establish low-cost, high-quality positions in almost every product segment. Does that mean that there must have been a deliberate strategy to do these things? Not necessarily. A “strategy” explanation of events is not always about intentionality, but is sometimes simply about the forces at work that permit sustained asymmetric positions to be maintained. In this case, the question is about the momentum of history: according to the BCG cost-experience model, or the Phahalad and Hamel core competence model, once a firm has a good head-start at doing something, and as long as it exploits the benefits of that head-start, it is very hard to catch up with that competitor. Both BCG and Prahalad and Hamel invoke the myopia of U.S. and British firms to explain why their initial head-starts were not fully exploited, whereas the Japanese home-market head-start was extensively built upon.

Again, on the intentionality issue, it is clear that neither BCG nor Chandler suggests that British companies consciously and deliberately adopted the strategic plans of “segment retreat” or “fail to invest.” It is understood that these consistent patterns of behaviour were the product of myopia or the constraints imposed by the socio-political environment. However, the BCG report does claim (as do later cases on Honda) that Honda followed a coherent strategy. Nevertheless, it is possible to use the same data to argue that just like “segment retreat” Honda’s strategy of “innovate, build market share, use specialised tooling to exploit the benefits of high volume production” is merely the product of simple business heuristics and does not flow from a coherent vision of how to march towards global leadership. The unfortunate fact is that the data provided by BCG and by Prahalad and Hamel are not sufficient to prove internationality (it appears to be implicit in the writers’ assumptions), and the data provided by Pascale are not sufficient to disprove the existence of a coherent logic covering the expansion of the motorcycle business from 1960 through 1980.

So where does that leave the debate? My own view is that the “process/emergent” school is right about good process being non-linear. A great deal of business success depends on generating new knowledge and on having the capabilities to react quickly and intelligently to this new knowledge. Thus, peripheral vision and swift adaptation are critical. At the same time, I believe that the “design” school is right about the reality of forces like scale economies, accumulated experience, and the cumulative development of core competencies over time. These are strong forces and are not simply countered. But my own experience is that coherent strategy based upon analyses and understandings of these forces is much more often imputed than actually observed. Finally, I believe that strategic thinking is a necessary but greatly overrated element of business success. If you know how to design great motorcycle engines, I can teach you all you need to know about strategy in a few days. If you have a Ph.D. in strategy, years of labour are unlikely to give you the ability to design great new motorcycle engines.