Other Links (Collected by the CP Students of the 2000-2002 Batch)
SCENARIO THINKING
[URL links revised on July 22, 2006]
Scenario-based Decision Making - Technique http://www.globalfuture.com/scenario1.htm
Scenario development as a learning process http://www.nextwork.se/methods/scenarios
Reading the future http://www.adb.org/Documents/Periodicals/ERO/2001/reading_future.asp
Strategic thinking with scenarios http://www.metabridge.com/assoc/stratscen1c.htm
The Stages of the Strategic Planning Process http://horizon.unc.edu/projects/seminars/futuresresearch/stages.asp
Estimates, Forecasts, and Scenarios http://www.ndu.edu/inss/McNair/mcnair63/63_02.html
Beyond Data: The World of Scenario Planning http://www.aasa.org/publications/saarticledetail.cfm?ItemNumber=3761
The art of preparing for an uncertain future http://www.gbn.com/ArticleDisplayServlet.srv?aid=1480
Resources on social, technological, economic, environmental, and political (or STEEP) sectors http://horizon.unc.edu/onramp/
The Art of the Possible [PDF] http://www.deruijter.net/en/articles/pdf/kenter.pdf [78 pages]
Key Factors & Driving Forces http://www.ejmings.com/hogfarm/force2.htm
Spinning the Future http://www.well.com/user/bbear/change12.html
Reading the Future http://www.adb.org/Documents/Periodicals/ERO/2001/reading_future.asp
Scenarios as a Powerful Tool for Planning [PDF] http://www.wisc.edu/improve/strplan/scenarios.pdf [10 pages]
Scenario planning resources http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/
Scenario as a powerful tool of planning http://www.wisc.edu/improve/strplan/scenarios.pdf
Window On The Future: A Scenario Planning Primer [PDF] http://www.supportability.com/ScenPlan.pdf [20 pages]
Spreadsheets: Bulking Up On Data http://www.outsights.com/systems/buod/buod.htm
The Days of Futurists Past http://www.strategy-business.com/press/article/19811?pg=0 [Requires registration]
Herman Kahn http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Kahn
Links to the future http://www.passig.com/pic/SFILinksFuture.htm
Grasping the Future: Comparing Scenarios to Other Techniques http://www.kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?main=/articles/art0178.html?m%3D7
SCENARIO METHODS
How to build scenarios http://www.wired.com/wired/scenarios/build.html
Cross impact matrix method of forecasting http://www.iit.edu/~it/cross.html
Methodologies in technological forecasting http://www.unido.org/userfiles/kaufmanC/arapeslide.pdf (PDF: 21 pages)
Understanding Cross Impact Analysis http://www.voctech.org.bn/Virtual_lib/Programme/Regular/Emerging99/Cross%20Impact%20Analysis.htm
Developing Scenarios: Linking Environmental Scanning and Strategic Planning http://horizon.unc.edu/bios/morrison/papers/13.html
Cross Impact Analysis http://www.undp.org/hiv/publications/facil_bk/tools2.htm
Doing Scenarios http://www.wholeearthmag.com/ArticleBin/224.html
Forecasting (Quantitative and Qualitative) http://www.nets.kz/ilia.nets.kz/f_text.html#18
Technology Forecasting http://www.stthomas.edu/technology/2001Spring/MMSE777-13-S01.htm
Morphological Models http://www.ltg.ed.ac.uk/projects/ledtools/ale-ra/node7.html
A Heuristic Method for Scenario Projections http://design6.ap.buffalo.edu/~samcole/heuristic.htm
Scenario Practice http://fargo.itp.tsoa.nyu.edu/~scenario/overview.html
A Scenario Workshop for Dummies http://www.enerne.dk/a_scenario_work_shop_for_dummies.htm
Tools For Multisectoral Development http://www.undp.org/hiv/publications/facil_bk/tools1.htm#P86_4464
Cross-Impact Analysis http://www.colorado.edu/engineering/civil/cem/Risks/cia/
Methods and Approaches of Futures Studies (World Future Society Draft) http://www.wfs.org/newmeth.htm
Anticipating the Future http://ag.arizona.edu/futures/
SCENARIOS IN SPECIFIC SECTORS
Electronic Future Communities http://www.tc.ca/bc2001.txt
Scenarios For The Future of Leisure http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html
Broadcast Media in 2007 http://www.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm
Creating the Vision for the Institution http://freire.cascadia.ctc.edu/Transformation/consideration/strate~1.htm
Which World: Global Scenarios for the 21st Century http://mars3.gps.caltech.edu/whichworld/explore/scenarios.html
Converging Technologies: Consequences for the New Knowledge-Driven Economy http://www.innovation.gov.uk/projects/converging_techn/scenarios.html
Mapping the Future: A Study of Future Thinking within the Department of Trade and Industry, UK http://www.innovation.gov.uk/projects/mapping_future/summary.html
Forecasting Internet Telephony http://www.orsoc.org.uk/about/topic/insight/fore2.htm
Siemens FutureScape http://www.ic.siemens.com/CDA/Site/GHTML/box/1,1562,5386-0-0,00.html
Understanding Scenario Planning in Higher Education http://www.boardrush.com/jbrieley/6d1.htm
Access to Law in the Year 2525 http://www.lawfoundation.net.au/publications/reports/future/
Using scenarios for product development http://www.ssplanning.com/Articles/DisplayArticle.asp?PageID=97132387
Understanding Scenario Planning in Higher Education http://www.boardrush.com/jbrieley/6d1.htm
Developing Effective Strategies in a Rapidly Changing and Highly Uncertain Global economy http://www.scenario-planning.com/rwhyte.htm
Scenarios: The new Europe http://www.redherring.com/mag/issue101/1460019946.html
Scenarios: The future of the new economy II http://www.redherring.com/mag/issue83/mag-scenarios-83.html
Why Use Scenario Planning at College of Marin? http://www.marin.cc.ca.us/scenario/why.htm
Scenario Planning at College of Marin http://www.marin.cc.ca.us/scenario/story1.htm
Alternative Futures for Health and Health Care in the UK (PPT slides) http://www.idongroup.com/assoc/clients/SCENHEM2/sld001.htm
Higher education in the year 2010 http://www.si.umich.edu/V2010/scenproc.html
Regional Futures Conference http://www.lili.org/isl/future3.htm
Technology Information, Forecasting & Assessment Council (India) http://www.tifac.org.in/
Asian Environmental Scenarios Roundtable http://www.nautilus.org/enviro/scenarios_geneva.html
Strategic Planning (in nonprofit or for-profit organizations) http://www.mapnp.org/library/plan_dec/str_plan/str_plan.htm
American State Courts, Five Tsunamis, & Four Alternative Futures http://www.futures.hawaii.edu/dator/courts/tsunamis.html
Scenario planning in forest management http://www.mcgregor.bc.ca/scenario/overview.html
Storying corporate futures: The Shell scenarios http://www.systems.org/HTML/fsj-v01/rd-f/shell-1.htm
Special Report on Emissions Scenarios http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/index.htm
The Future of organisations http://www.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/s1000000.html
HIV and Development Programme http://www.undp.org/hiv/publications/part_bk/Table_of_ Contents.htm
The Manoa Journal of Fried and Half-Fried Ideas (about the future) http://www.soc.hawaii.edu/future/jrnls.html#top
Technology Futures http://www.tfi.com/rescon/TF_Techniques.html
Future Needs (Science & Technology) http://www.dest.gov.au/archive/Science/astec/future/intro.html
EU Enlargement: Some lessons from the "Scenarios Europe 2010" Project http://www.jrc.es/iptsreport/vol38/english/FUT5E386.htm
Ukraine 2000 and Beyond: Geopolitical Priorities and Scenarios of Development. www.niss.gov.ua/book/engl/008.htm
Foresighting Around the World http://www.seattle.battelle.org/services/e&s/foresite/ch02.htm
Plausible Futures http://www.plausiblefutures.com/index.php |